NFL Week 5 Line Moves, NFL Week 6 Look Ahead Lines

Written by Watt05 We forge ahead with the grind known as NFL season. Every week isn’t created equal and sometimes patience becomes a virtue. The first and only game we’ll breakdown for NFL Week 5 is the inter-conference battle in Las Vegas. The Bears head west with their 1st round pick Justin Fields officially anointed […]

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Bet the Board Top 10 – Week 6 College Football Power Ratings

Written by Watt05 We’ve got movement! There’s a new #1 in our Bet the Board Top 10 for Week 6. The Georgia Bulldogs have proven enough through the first portion of the season that they deserve top billing. Now the more important question; can they close when it matters most?  Big Ten Bluebloods Georgia isn’t […]

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Oddmakers at Odds: Finding Value in Market Factors (Part 1)

Written by Drew Borland of SportSource Analytics In a previous article, “Do Sports Betting Trends Have Value”, the moral of the story was that raw win/loss ATS trends do not have value and simply are not predictive. Winning and losing a bet is a binary proposition that is not subject to gradation. Evaluating trends and […]

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NFL Week 4 Line Moves, NFL Week 5 look ahead lines

Written by Watt05 This week’s slate is loaded with ugly ducklings. There are SEVEN games with point spreads of -7 or greater. However, that doesn’t mean we can’t find value within some of these larger numbers.  Tennessee at New York Jets +7 (-110): The look-ahead line at FanDuel listed Tennessee road favorites of just under […]

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Bet the Board Top 10 College Football Week 5

Written by Watt05 Disappointing and under performing are buzz words easily applied to traditional blue bloods through the first month of the season. Gone is the explosive offense we’ve grown accustomed to from Oklahoma prompting a ratings adjustment.  Is Spencer Rattler even the guy there in Norman?  Speaking of offensive ineptitude, Clemson’s attack makes the […]

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Not All Sports Betting Losses are Created Equal

Written by Drew Borland of Sport Source Analytics You may have read an article on this very website, 5 Traits of a Successful Sports Bettors, a critical trait outlined was “Don’t get discouraged”. It’s imperative for all bettors to understand that not all wins and losses are created equal. There are plenty of things that […]

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NFL Week 3 Line Moves, Look Ahead Lines for NFL Week 4

Written by Watt05 It’s time for your weekly installment of look ahead lines and market moves. We have double the data to work with entering Week 3 than we did last week. The key, especially at the beginning of the season, is to make sure we’re accounting for major disparities in strength of schedule.  Remember […]

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Bet the Board Top 10 College Football Teams

Written by Watt05 There were no upsets during Week 3 that created upheaval in our Top 10. However there were enough close calls that we had to make minor adjustments.  Lions, Tigers, and Bears oh My Listen to the Week 4 College Football Podcast with Best Bets Oklahoma jumped Clemson for the #3 spot this […]

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Do Sports Betting Trends Have Value?

Written by Drew Borland of Sport Source Analytics In sports, trends and streaks are part and parcel to any good storyline. Whether it’s seeing if Alabama can be dethroned or Tom Brady has another Super Bowl run in him, streaks increase engagement. It is ingrained into our psyche. We are frequently biased towards wanting (or […]

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NFL Week 2 Line Moves, Look Ahead Lines for NFL Week 3

Written by Watt05 Week 1 provided a 2-1 start for our weekly market moves (no need to mention that Lions total). This week there are two divisional matchups that caught my eye. The NFC South battle between New Orleans and Carolina means one team starts fast at 2-0 in a NFC devoid of a true […]

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