Written by Drew Borland of SportSource Analytics When it comes to betting totals there’s always a question that comes to mind: ”what should a bettor be rooting for in the game as it unfolds”? Do you want a blowout? A close game? Do you want the underdog to cover or the favorite to run away […]
Written by Watt_05 We’re faced with a…strange board this week…and that’s being kind! It was tough finding multiple games to breakdown given how much early week movement we saw on some of these totals. I was however able to locate a position that still offers value at the current number and should continue to see […]
Read More… from NFL Week 7 Line Moves, NFL Week 8 Look Ahead Lines
Written by Watt_05 It finally happened! For the first time all year there was no movement in our top 7. Iowa, however, was not so lucky at #8. Getting blown-out at home against Purdue as a double-digit favorite is a sure-fire way to fall out of our Top 10. Florida couldn’t take care of an […]
Read More… from Bet the Board College Football Week 8 Power Ratings
Written by Watt_05 Through 5 full weeks of football the pretenders and contenders are starting to distance themselves. Our first NFL Week 6 Line Move touches on a first half total that still offers value after a large full game move early in the week. One of the best games of the week takes place […]
Read More… from NFL Week 6 Line Moves, NFL Week 7 Look Ahead Lines
Written by Watt05 Some weeks we have major movement, others we maintain the status quo. This past weekend’s results didn’t require any adjustments to the top 3 despite Alabama’s loss to Texas A&M (yes, a loss doesn’t destroy a team’s power profile). Oklahoma climbs to #4 in our rankings in the wake of an improbable […]
Written by Drew Borland of SportSource Analytics In Part 1 of this topic we revealed how betting markets are very similar to stock and equity markets. We identified ways to assess team performance, volatility, and market value game to game. Here, we’ll break down how to assess and categorize each team on a week-to-week basis […]
Read More… from Oddsmakers at Odds: Finding Value in Market Factors (Part 2)
Written by Watt05 We forge ahead with the grind known as NFL season. Every week isn’t created equal and sometimes patience becomes a virtue. The first and only game we’ll breakdown for NFL Week 5 is the inter-conference battle in Las Vegas. The Bears head west with their 1st round pick Justin Fields officially anointed […]
Read More… from NFL Week 5 Line Moves, NFL Week 6 Look Ahead Lines
Written by Watt05 We’ve got movement! There’s a new #1 in our Bet the Board Top 10 for Week 6. The Georgia Bulldogs have proven enough through the first portion of the season that they deserve top billing. Now the more important question; can they close when it matters most? Big Ten Bluebloods Georgia isn’t […]
Read More… from Bet the Board Top 10 – Week 6 College Football Power Ratings
Written by Drew Borland of SportSource Analytics In a previous article, “Do Sports Betting Trends Have Value”, the moral of the story was that raw win/loss ATS trends do not have value and simply are not predictive. Winning and losing a bet is a binary proposition that is not subject to gradation. Evaluating trends and […]
Read More… from Oddmakers at Odds: Finding Value in Market Factors (Part 1)
Written by Watt05 This week’s slate is loaded with ugly ducklings. There are SEVEN games with point spreads of -7 or greater. However, that doesn’t mean we can’t find value within some of these larger numbers. Tennessee at New York Jets +7 (-110): The look-ahead line at FanDuel listed Tennessee road favorites of just under […]
Read More… from NFL Week 4 Line Moves, NFL Week 5 look ahead lines
