Shuffle up and deal!
Entering Week 3 of College Football there’s no doubt Alabama and Georgia appear to be the best teams in the country right now. Ohio State drops to #5 following their home loss to #8 Oregon while Penn State continues their unexpected ascent to #7 (maybe by default). We also round out our Top 10 with two teams going about their business in different fashions.
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Our overrated team won’t surprise anyone that’s analytically inclined despite an overwhelming early season narrative suggesting otherwise. The underrated team this week stubbed its toe in a rivalry game on Saturday but we aren’t ready to write them off just yet.
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Onto the rankings we go…
Bet the Board Top 10 Week 3:
1.) Alabama
2.) Georgia
3.) Clemson
4.) Oklahoma
5.) Ohio State
6.) Texas A&M
7.) Penn State
8.) Oregon
9.) Cincinnati
10.) Ole Miss
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Overrated: Iowa
Iowa continued their mastery over in-state rival Iowa State with a 27-17 road victory on Saturday. The defensive strength of this team cannot be denied. They forced Brock Purdy into 3 interceptions and have held both Iowa and Indiana to sub 4.5 yards per play. The Hawkeyes stop unit should remain a top 5 group all season. So why do they fall into the overrated bucket this week?
The offense remains stuck in neutral. Iowa averaged 2.88 yards per play against Iowa State, accumulated 11 first downs, and gained 176 total yards. Scoring 61 points over the first two games looks promising however creating a net +5 in turnover margin is not. More than 1/3 of Iowa’s total point production this season has come directly from the defense.
Quarterback Spencer Petras has a 50% completion rate for 251 yards and 1 TD this season; great if you’re running an option attack in 2021. Quarterbacks put up statlines like this in one half of college nowadays. The offense will eventually hold Iowa back proving that this team has no business garnering top 5 recognition.
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Underrated: Utah
We were bullish on Utah coming into the season. Although they lost to BYU on Saturday, we’re still in the camp backing the Utes as viable Pac12 threats. The BYU game came down to turnovers; a fumble, INT, and two failed 4th down conversion’s all but sealed their fate. Utah still ran for 7.7 yards per play and are a net +1.4 yards per play on the season.
The offense seemed to have mental miscues that cost them. Running back Micah Bernard showed promise and upside, running for 146 yards on just 12 carries. The defense is still a force capable of learning from mistakes. Coach Kyle Whittingham expressed his dismay at the lack of physicality in the trenches vs. BYU. We’d expect that side of the ball to show well against San Diego State Saturday. We’ve already seen professional bettors tip their hand early this week on Utah laying 7, and pushing the number out to -9.5 amid speculation Aztec’s starting quarterback Jordon Brookshire could miss with a foot injury.
